February 19, 2025

Trump just gave Europe its Pearl Harbor by backing Russia in the Ukraine war. By Hal M. Brown

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This is all over the news, not just on HUFFPOST.

Trump on Tuesday blamed Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy for Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine.

Trump’s statement comes as US and Russian officials discussed ending the three-year war in Ukraine without any Ukrainian officials present — which Zelenskyy criticized on Tuesday.

“[Zelenskyy] should’ve ended it in three years,” Trump, who has repeatedly and baselessly claimed the war wouldn’t have happened if he were in office at the time, said. “You should have never started it. You could have made a deal. I could have made a deal for Ukraine that would have given them almost all of the land, and no people would have been killed, and no city would have been demolished and not one dome would have been knocked down. But they chose not to do it that way.”

Trump added that he likes Zelenskyy “personally,“ but, he added, “I care about getting the job done.”

“You have leadership now that’s allowed a war to go on that should have never even happened, even without the United States,” Trump continued.

It is being reported about on TV as I write this:

If you don’t count Trump’s other lies where the truth was in plain sight, the size of his first inauguraton crowd and the Big Lie about the election being stolen in 2020, for example, this is Trump’s most dangerous to democracy gaslighting lie ever. The first democracy threatening lie was about January 6th. We saw what we saw, and Trump wants us to believe we were hallucinating. 

We also saw what we saw when Russia first amassed troops around Ukraine claiming it was just a military exercise, and then began a massive invasion. Trump wants us to think we didn’t see this. We’re the ones who are mentally ill, right?

American’s have a favorable opinion of NATO and our membership (see Pew Research poll). If they could vote on whether we remain as a member we would.

Another Pew Research poll of Americans opinions on supporting Ukraine in their war against Russia shows oeverall support but a division depending on poltical affiliation.

Overall, 30% of American adults say the U.S. is providing too much support to Ukraine in its war with Russia. That’s up slightly from 27% in November 2024, just after the U.S. presidential election. At the same time, the share of adults who believe the U.S. is not providing enough support to Ukraine has increased slightly: 22% say this, up from 18% in November. These shifts mean that U.S. opinion about support for Ukraine is now closer to preelection levels.

Republicans and Republican-leaning independents are far more likely than Democrats and Democratic leaners to say the U.S. is giving Ukraine too much support (47% vs. 14%). The share of Republicans who think the U.S. is giving Ukraine too much support has increased 5 percentage points since November. Meanwhile, Democrats are much more likely than Republicans to say the U.S. is giving too little support to Ukraine (35% vs. 10%); the share of Democrats with this view is up 7 points since November.

If NATO membership and support for Ukraine were up to Americans, we would be in a very different position. Instead, it is up to one person, Donald J. Trump. 

On Feb. 10th I wrote Three weeks in and we have Fort Sumter.

I wrote:

What has just happened mere few weeks into the Trump presidency is that we have had our Fort Sumpter in the form of Trump attacking federal agencies and, as I wrote yesterday, locking Democratic members of Congress out of federal buildings.

The war is about to escalate as Trump threatens to defy court orders and Vance, Musk, and some Republican members of Congress say he has every right to do this.

It is worse than that. There are also thinly veiled threats to try to take control of the media.

In the brief time since I wrote that the move to make us into an autocracy has escalated. 

Yesterday Trump all but announced that we have shitcanned our membership in the community of democratic and mostly democratic nations and allied ourselves with Russia. He started by trying to bully our neighbors, Canada and Mexico, and then symbolically ripped to shreds every treaty we have with our allies.

There was a chance that when Trump said what he said he was having a senior moment. He could have walked his words back. He could have done his usual moonwalk somehow saying he didn’t really mean that Ukraine started the war. It looks like it is too late for him to do this because he followed up by continuing to attack Zelinski and in a typical Trumpian move said he wanted Ukraine to give the US half of her national resources. Then, just a few minutes ago, it has been reported that Trump called Zelenski a dictator and that he better have free elections or he may not have a country.

What Trump has done may not have been as much of a surprise attack as Pearl Harbor was. We should have seen this coming. Even so, he might as well as ordered a fleet of aircraft carries to send their aircraft to bomb, not just Ukraine and NATO, but all of our allies.

Trump is now an enemy agent in the NATO alliance. I see a case being made for NATO to kick the country he has taken control of out for their own security.

Trump has declared war against democracy both at home and abroad. He might as well have added two parenthetical words to his slogan so it reads Make America (and Russia) Great Again.

Some afterthoughts:

In the unlikely event that Trump either withdraws from NATO or NATO severs its relationship with the United States, they could do one of two things. They likely would significantly increase military aid to Ukraine. They could go much further than this. They could fast-track Ukraine becoming a member of NATO.

This would mean a NATO war with Russia. This would be World War III. There’s no way to know which side Trump would be on. If he decided to be on Russia’s side, not only would the American public be outraged, but it is quite possible our military would refuse to back him. This could lead to a military coup. Hesgeth would be barred from the Pentagon, the nuclear codes Trump has control of would be disabled, Trump would be arrested for treason, and a tribunal of generals would be put in charge of Executive Branch of the United States.

Addendum:

This is what Trump posted:

Think of it, a modestly successful comedian, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, talked the United States of America into spending $350 Billion Dollars, to go into a War that couldn't be won, that never had to

start, but a War that he, without the U.S. and "TRUMP," will never be able to settle. The United States has spent $200 Billion Dollars more than Europe, and Europe's money is guaranteed, while the United States will get nothing back. Why didn't Sleepy Joe Biden demand Equalization, in that this

War is far more important to Europe than it is to us

— We have a big, beautiful Ocean as separation. On top of this, Zelenskyy admits that half of the money we sent him is "MISSING." He refuses to have Elections, is very low in Ukrainian Polls, and

the only thing he was good at was playing Biden "like a fiddle." A Dictator without Elections, Zelenskyy better move fast or he is not going to have a Country left. In the meantime, we are successfully negotiating an end to the War with Russia, something all admit only "TRUMP," and the Trump Administration, can do. Biden never tried, Europe has failed to bring Peace, and Zelenskyy probably wants to keep the "gravy train" going. I love Ukraine, but Zelenskyy has done a terrible job, his Country is shattered, and MILLIONS have

unnecessarily died - And so it continues.....

The Russian webstie posted this along with what Trump posted:

Read my daily thoughts on Bluesky

Airplane crashes and more: turnabout may not be fair play, but Trump and Musk deserve it. By Hal M. Brown

 


So far it doesn’t appear that mistakes by air traffic controllers or anybody else can be blamed for the airplane crash that happened in Canada. Everything now points to it being an unavoidable accident. I am not an expert, but I think it’s possible that failure for air traffic controllers to close the airport and reroute planes due to the danger of ground level wind sheer could be considered to have been a factor.

Even if Canadian investigators from their version of our FAA, Canadian Transport determine it was an unavoidable accident it increases focusing more attention on air traffic safety and the Trump/Musk firing of probationary employees of the Federal Aviation Administration.

Trump and his GOP minions have always blamed everything that has gone wrong in the country on President Biden, and before him on President Obama. Whether it’s a single incident of an illegal immigrant murdering someone or the rise in Fentanyl overdoses and deaths, it is blamed on Joe Biden. You name it, if it is or was bad in the last four years they blamed Biden.

It’s an old trope that airplane crashes come in groups, often in groups of three (see article). With so many planes flying there are bound to be accidents. Some will be minor and some will be more serious. A very few may be catastrophic. 

It doesn’t matter whether or not the causes of any of them can be blamed on the cuts to the FAA. They will be a reminder that Trump and Musk have no regard for the safety of, not just the flying public, but the public in general.

There are other things besides airplane crashes that they can’t control. For example, if outbreaks of the bird flu and measles make the news, Trump’s pick of RFK Jr. to head HHS will be criticized no matter whether or not anything he did was a causative factor.

If there’s a life threatening outbreak of a food borne disease we’ll see stories about cuts to the USDA and FDA. If a drug rushed through the approval process turns out to have fatal side effects look for the blame to be put on FDA cuts.

If ICE agents inadvertently shoot a child, Trump, with his selection of the macho posturing Tom Homan, will be blamed by the progressive media.

If there’s a radiation leak at the Hanford Nuclear Site in Washington state, which is 248 mile north from where I live in Portland, it may have nothing to do with the firings of their expert employees and, when they realized their mistake, their inablity to reach them to tell them to come back to work. As unlikey as this is to happen, if it does Trump will be forced by our side to take ownership of this.

If there are even worse wildfires in California, or in states Trump doesn’t hate, the DOGE firing of fire fighters will be blamed. There could be other natural disasters, some devastiing to red states, where understaffed agencies will cause more death and disruption because of cuts to FEMA.

We’re a Willie Horton - George Floyd - Luigi Mangione society. All it sometimes takes is something done by or that happens to one person to move public opinion, for good or bad. 

I doubt somebody who couldn’t get service at the VA or who had their Social Security benefit cut will self-immolate themselves in front of a federal building, but it could happen. 

The elimination of USAID funding for most of their life saving programs is the most egregious and heartless exmaple of DOGE deaths. Unfortunately these are faraway consequences easily ignored by those who don’t want to have their Christian values challenged. The results of Trump’s cruelty has to hit close to home for it to lead to a signficant number his supporters to turn against him. In fact, close to home probably isn’t enough. It has to be literally in the homes of these people whether on TV or better yet, in their own lives. 

It may be unsavory, it may be wrong at some levels, because just because somebody did something unfair to you, you can say that this doesn’t morally justify doing it back to them when you have the chance. It may break Michelle Obama’s “when they go low, we go high” dictum. Even so, I think there’s a case to be made for, in some cases, you can apply the tenets of situation ethics. This leads me to sayng that turnabout is fair play.

Addendum:

There’s another cliche that applies to this:

This is a follow-up to yesterday’s Substack:

February 17, 2025

A tale of the DOGE destruction disruption and more unintended consequences. By Hal M. Brown



"

Ready, fire, aim," is how David Ignatious put it on "Morning Joe" today talking about the unintended consequences of the DOGE cuts. 

This pretty much sums up what has happened because of Trump's manic rush to initiate everything that is laid out in Project 2025 and make himself into a dictator. The authors of Project 2025 were sane, so a other things that the authors of the blueprint for autocracy hadn't thought of were added by Trump: Greenland, Panama, making Canada a state, Gaza, and a social media post justifying being a Napoleonanic dictator, for example. 

Here are some illustrations from various websites and photos I took while I had MSNBC and CNN on while I was writing this:

I wonder how many viewers and readers of far-right media even know about any, let alone, all of these. Some of them may not be disabused of their belief that Trump walks on water until, if they depend on Medicaid for crucial medical treatment, they look at their monthly payment and don’t understand why it’s been drastically cut. Others may have personal connections to the fired federal workers. A few may be friends with, or employed, immigrants who have been deported, or are fearful of being deported. Some may be parents of unvaccinated children who get the measles. The list goes on.

When an aggressor army is actually invading a country shock and awe is often effective. The Nazi blitzkrieg is an example of a success. Putin tried it against Ukraine but failed. Trump is only figuratively invading a country called Democratic America. He didn’t have to come on like gangbusters.

Trump could have avoided shooting himself in the face if he was prudent instead of reckless when he went about trying to become the dictator he aspires to be. He could have stiffed Musk after what was supposed to be a reward for his donations. He could have kept him out of the Oval Office and never allowed DOGE to exist. But Trump gets something about having the richest person in the world (or the second richest after Putin whose net worth is hard to determne), someone reviled by his enemies, as his co-president. He enjoys all the mockery coming from liberals about this. Trump is happy when he thinks he owns the libs.

It would have been difficult to find them, but he could have found competent loyalists to nominate for Cabinet positions and top jobs. Instead we have RFK Jr., Tulsi Gabard, and Pete Hegseth.

He could used strategic instead of mass firings.

He could have actually made sure that the only immigrants deported were violent criminals. He could have told Thom Homan not to be such a macho asshat and to stay away from Dr. Phil.

He could have just ignored the plight of Eric Adams.

He definitely shouldn’t have posted his Napoleon message. I expect that even some of his allies on the Supreme Court think this will make it harder to rule in his favor in certain cases. He just told them that if he disagrees with any other their decisions he can ignore them.

If Trump had just stuck with Greenland, Panama, and Canada, he’d have been better off. He could have moved slowly on everything else. He could have been judicious, a concept that shouldn’t even be in the same sentence with Trump.

Thankfully for democracy in America, he’s so thrilled by his reckless ride into a Caligula like monarchy that he can’t stop himself. He hasn’t had visceral feelings like this since Stormy Daniels agreed to go to bed with him.

Trump just gave Europe its Pearl Harbor by backing Russia in the Ukraine war. By Hal M. Brown

 . This is all over the news, not just on  HUFFPOST . Trump on Tuesday blamed Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy for Russia’s 2022 inva...